top of page
Leora Ruzin

AS HOUSING MARKET COOLS, HOMEBUYERS ARE PUTTING LESS MONEY DOWN ON A HOME


The typical U.S. homebuyer’s down payment fell 10% year over year in January to $42,375, its lowest level in nearly two years, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-based real estate brokerage. The median down payment was down 35% from the peak it reached in June, but still up more than 30% from pre-pandemic levels.

The median down payment in January was equal to 10% of the purchase price, down from 13.6% a year earlier and the pandemic-era peak of 17.5% in May. The last time down-payment percentages where this low was early 2021, before the pandemic homebuying boom drove buyers to pay more to make their offers more attractive.

According to the report, down payments are falling for several reasons:

The housing market is slow and there’s not much competition. Most offers for homes written by Redfin agents don’t face bidding wars. That’s a stark difference from the hyper-competitive housing market of 2021 and early 2022. Buyers no longer need to offer a significant down payment to prove their financial stability and stand out from the crowd. Now that buyers often have the upper hand, they can offer the best amount for their circumstances. Diminished competition also allows more buyers to use FHA and VA loans, typically allowing for smaller down payments.

High housing costs and inflation. 6%-plus mortgage rates, still-high home prices, and inflation are hitting homebuyers’ pocketbooks hard. Buyers don’t have as much money to allocate to a down payment because monthly housing payments are higher than before; they may also put more cash toward a mortgage-rate buydown instead of their down payment. Additionally, buyers may be inclined to hold onto as much cash as possible in these uncertain economic times.

Lower home prices = lower dollar down payments. Home prices remain stubbornly high but have fallen more than 10% from their May 2022 peak and 1.5% from a year ago. A 10% down payment on a $400,000 home equals $40,000; if that same home were worth $450,000 in May, the buyer would have needed $45,000 for a 10% down payment.

“One silver lining of high mortgage rates and economic turmoil is that they’ve slowed competition,” said Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari. “That means buyers can often purchase a home without facing a bidding war and don’t need to fork over a huge portion of their savings for a down payment to grab sellers’ attention. Today’s buyers can also save money in other ways: Nearly half of sellers offer concessions, like helping pay for a mortgage-rate buydown or covering closing costs, to attract buyers.”

Nearly one-third (32.1%) of U.S. home purchases were paid for with all cash in January, up from 29.7% a year earlier and the highest share in nine years. Buyers—especially affluent ones—increasingly pay in cash to avoid taking on a high mortgage rate. Cash purchases were common during the homebuying frenzy of 2021 and early 2022, but for a different reason: Buyers offered cash back then to beat the competition.

16% of mortgaged home sales used an FHA loan in January, up from 13.3% a year earlier and the highest share since April 2020. The share of mortgaged sales using VA loans rose to its highest level in over two years, climbing to 7.5% from 6.1% a year earlier.

FHA and VA loans, which typically allow for lower down payments than conventional loans, have become more prevalent as the market cooled and affordability waned. Most sellers are receiving just one offer for their home–a reversal from the hyper-competitive pandemic housing market–making sellers much more likely to accept FHA and VA loans. Sellers can’t afford to be picky about loan types if they receive just one offer.

Conventional loans are still by far the most common type. More than three-quarters (76.3%) of borrowers used a conventional loan–but that’s the lowest share since June 2020.

Comments


bottom of page